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UK House Prices Rise as Mortgage Demand Weakens

UK House Prices Rise as Mortgage Demand Weakens

UK house prices rose 0.2% in August 2026 after seasonal adjustment, while annual growth accelerated to 1.6% from a revised 1.4% in July. The average home was valued at £275,465. Price stability, however, has yet to translate into stronger demand: mortgage lending has weakened, purchase approvals have declined and sellers recorded the biggest August cut in asking prices since 2018.

The August reading was slightly stronger than economists' expectations for a 0.1% monthly increase, while annual growth remained subdued. The gap between resilient prices and weak buyer activity was at the centre of Bloomberg's report on the latest UK housing data.

UK House Prices Rose 0.2% in August

House prices increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.2% between July and August. Annual growth reached 1.6%, compared with a revised 1.4% in July.

The average property price before seasonal adjustment nevertheless declined to £275,465 from £276,581. The figures are not contradictory: the monthly index adjusts for seasonal patterns and differences in the mix of properties, while the published average price is not seasonally adjusted.

July's figures were also revised after a system change resulted in some cases being omitted from the original sample. The previous estimate of a 0.1% monthly increase was changed to a 0.1% decline, while annual growth was revised from 1.8% to 1.4%. The lender said the correction affected its monthly UK series but not its regional indices. August therefore marked the first positive monthly reading after prices rose 0.4% in April, fell 0.6% in May and were broadly flat in June.

Despite the August increase, the average home remained roughly £3,400 below April's £278,880 level.

UK Mortgage Activity Weakened in July

Credit data released at the start of September provided a weaker signal for future transactions.

Lenders approved 56,100 mortgages for house purchases in July, down from 58,200 in June and below the previous six-month average of about 60,800.

Net mortgage borrowing dropped to £4.3 billion from £7.7 billion, while gross secured lending declined to £25.9 billion from £26.9 billion.

Borrowing costs also moved higher. The effective interest rate — the rate actually paid on newly drawn mortgages — increased to 4.45% from 4.35%. The effective rate on the outstanding stock of mortgages edged up to 3.97% from 3.96%.

The Bank of England's Sept. 1 lending data therefore point to a divergence between prices and activity. House values edged higher in August, but mortgage approvals, an indicator of future borrowing and purchases, had weakened a month earlier.

A housing market can sustain prices for some time despite low transaction volumes when owners are reluctant to accept large discounts. A broader recovery would normally require stronger buyer activity as well.

Bank Rate Remains at 3.75%

Financing costs continue to constrain affordability.

Bank Rate stands at 3.75% at the beginning of September, with the next Monetary Policy Committee decision scheduled for Sept. 17.

Bank Rate does not directly determine the mortgage rate offered to an individual buyer. It influences banks' funding costs and expectations in financial markets, while fixed mortgage pricing is also affected by bond yields and swap rates used by lenders to manage interest-rate risk.

The central bank left the policy rate unchanged at its July 30 meeting and highlighted continued uncertainty surrounding inflation and energy costs. That leaves the near-term path of mortgage pricing dependent on both monetary policy and movements in market rates.

For buyers, this means that slow property-price growth does not automatically translate into better affordability if mortgage costs increase at the same time.

House Price Growth Is Below Inflation

UK house prices are also rising more slowly than consumer prices.

Consumer Price Index inflation accelerated to 2.9% in July from 2.6% in June. CPIH, the broader measure that includes owner-occupiers' housing costs, increased 3.1%.

Housing and household services, along with furniture, made the largest upward contributions to the change in annual inflation rates.

The Office for National Statistics figures mean that Nationwide's 1.6% annual increase in nominal house prices remains below general consumer inflation. On a simple inflation-adjusted comparison, national house prices are therefore still declining in real terms.

That may gradually improve house-price-to-income measures if earnings continue to outpace property values, though mortgage rates and deposit requirements determine whether households can turn that improvement into actual purchasing power.

Official UK Data Confirm a Loss of Momentum

The latest government house-price index, which relies mainly on completed transactions and therefore lags lender-based measures, shows a similar slowdown.

The average UK property was valued at £272,188 in June, 2% higher than a year earlier. Annual growth had slowed from around 3% in May.

The monthly picture differs depending on adjustment. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average prices rose 0.1% between May and June. After seasonal adjustment, they fell 0.2%.

Average prices reached £293,262 in England, up 1.8% year on year; £213,162 in Wales, also up 1.8%; and £195,355 in Scotland, up 2.3%. Northern Ireland was considerably stronger, with the average price reaching £202,487 in the second quarter, 9.2% higher than a year earlier.

Within England, the North West recorded the strongest annual increase at 4.7%. London remained the weakest region, with prices down 2.5% from June 2025. It was the tenth consecutive month of annual price declines in the capital, driven mainly by weakness in Inner London. The latest UK House Price Index provides the regional breakdown.

Differences between the official index and faster lender-based measures largely reflect methodology and timing: completed sales are recorded later in the purchase process.

UK Property Transactions Fell in July

Sales volumes also remain subdued.

There were an estimated 96,710 seasonally adjusted UK residential property transactions worth £40,000 or more in July. That was 2% lower than in June and 1% below July 2025.

Before seasonal adjustment, the picture was stronger. Transactions increased 3% month on month and 5% year on year to 106,620, illustrating the importance of seasonal patterns in the housing market.

HM Revenue & Customs cautions that completed transactions are a lagging indicator. Completion typically comes two to four months after a buyer makes an initial offer, meaning July's figures largely reflect decisions taken during the spring and early summer.

The decline in mortgage approvals provides a more forward-looking signal and suggests that transaction growth could remain constrained in subsequent months.

UK Sellers Cut Asking Prices

Conditions look softer at the point when properties are first listed.

The average asking price of a newly marketed property fell 2% in August, from £372,359 to £364,999. It was the largest August decline since 2018. Asking prices were also 1% below their level a year earlier, the biggest annual fall since late 2023.

Higher-priced properties recorded the sharpest adjustment. Asking prices in the top-of-the-ladder segment fell 2.8% month on month, compared with a 0.3% decline in the first-time-buyer segment.

Sellers are also facing unusually high competition. The stock of homes available for sale is at a 12-year high for this time of year, with the average agent carrying around 65 properties in July compared with 59 in March.

At the same time, the average quoted two-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 5.09% from 4.95% a month earlier. Rightmove's figures suggest that buyers have more choice but face higher financing costs, forcing sellers to be more competitive on initial pricing.

Asking-price data are not directly comparable with lender or completed-transaction indices because they measure sellers' initial expectations rather than the eventual value of a transaction. The direction of travel is nevertheless significant.

UK Housing Is Stabilising Rather Than Rebounding

August's 0.2% increase looks more like a period of stabilisation after several weak months than the start of another rapid house-price cycle.

There are supportive factors. Property prices are rising more slowly than earnings, gradually improving underlying affordability, and household finances have remained relatively resilient.

The opposing signals remain substantial. New mortgage borrowing has become more expensive, approvals are below their recent average, seasonally adjusted transactions have declined and high levels of available stock are putting pressure on asking prices.

The key question for the autumn market is whether improved house-price-to-income ratios can outweigh mortgage costs. If financing remains expensive, households may continue postponing purchases even if nominal property values remain broadly stable.

As International Investment experts report, the 0.2% August rise is not sufficient evidence that the UK property market has moved into a sustained recovery. Prices have stabilised, but measures of actual activity remain weaker: mortgage approvals are down, new borrowing has become more expensive, seasonally adjusted transactions have declined and housing supply is unusually high for the time of year. A durable recovery would require a sustained increase in buyer activity and improved mortgage affordability, rather than a single positive monthly price reading.