Florida Housing Prices Drop to 13-Year Low

In March 2025, Florida’s real estate market recorded its sharpest decline in over a decade. According to Bloomberg, citing Redfin data, the median home price in the state dropped by 1.7% year-over-year—the most significant decline since records began 13 years ago.

Condo Segment Hit Hardest

The steepest drop occurred in the condominium and co-op segment, where prices fell by 7% to $307,500. Single-family homes saw a more moderate decline of about 2%. The correction follows the end of pandemic-driven migration to Florida, combined with elevated mortgage rates and skyrocketing homeowners’ insurance costs.

The condo market has been particularly affected by the 2021 Surfside building collapse, which led to stricter maintenance and reserve funding regulations. Increased costs have made many properties hard to sell, even at discounted prices.

“The pandemic-driven migration wave has slowed, and with high mortgage rates, homeownership is becoming unaffordable,” said Redfin economist Sheharyar Bokhari.

Mortgage Rates, Market Sentiment, and Tariffs

Despite a slight dip early this year, mortgage rates remain above 6.5%, nearly double the early 2022 levels. This deters both buyers and sellers, many of whom are reluctant to give up low-interest loans they secured during the pandemic boom.

Political and economic uncertainty—such as former President Trump’s tariff disputes with Mexico, Canada, and China—adds more pressure. New trade tensions could push inflation and interest rates higher or trigger a recession, both of which impact buyer confidence.

Buyers Hesitate, Listings Linger

South Florida is seeing an oversupply of unsold condos. According to Alexandra Dupont, a broker in Pompano Beach, foreign clients, especially Canadians, are increasingly concerned about taxes, currency risks, and U.S. politics. "If you really want to sell," she says, "you have to cut the price."

In contrast, markets like Massachusetts are experiencing bidding wars even during the off-season, reflecting regional disparities.

Nationally, listings are staying longer on the market—an average of 54 days in February 2025, the highest in five years. While this gives buyers more options, it’s also softening prices.

“I don't think home prices will collapse, but the market will remain weak,” says Capital Economics’ Thomas Ryan.

Some sellers are reinvesting proceeds into smaller or more affordable homes, and builders are responding by launching more compact, budget-friendly developments—especially in warmer states like Florida and Texas.

Outlook: A Soft Landing Ahead?

Analysts agree that a total market crash is unlikely. More probable is a “soft landing” marked by slow price corrections, more supply, and gradual recovery—particularly in overheated markets like Florida. Should interest rates stabilize, the U.S. housing market could return to modest growth by late 2025.